Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary by a wide margin, taking roughly 49-50% of the vote across all four counties while her nearest rival, Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson, finished around 30-32% and the remaining candidates trailed further behind. Her background as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and national security professional drew consolidated support from party leaders, donors, and voters focused on cost-of-living issues in this Hudson Valley swing district. The fragmented field and Conley’s organizational and fundraising advantages produced the decisive outcome reflected in trader pricing. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges to vote totals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the scale of the reported lead and standard recount thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNY-17 Margem de Vitória das Primárias Democráticas
NY-17 Margem de Vitória das Primárias Democráticas
Conley 15%+ 98.0%
Conley 5–10% 1.5%
Conley 10–15% <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$54,938 Vol.
$54,938 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Conley 15%+
98%
Conley 10–15%
1%
Conley 5–10%
2%
Conley <5%
<1%
Conley 15%+ 98.0%
Conley 5–10% 1.5%
Conley 10–15% <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$54,938 Vol.
$54,938 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Conley 15%+
$19,275 Vol.
98%
Conley 10–15%
$23,361 Vol.
1%
Conley 5–10%
$4,886 Vol.
2%
Conley <5%
$4,532 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary by a wide margin, taking roughly 49-50% of the vote across all four counties while her nearest rival, Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson, finished around 30-32% and the remaining candidates trailed further behind. Her background as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and national security professional drew consolidated support from party leaders, donors, and voters focused on cost-of-living issues in this Hudson Valley swing district. The fragmented field and Conley’s organizational and fundraising advantages produced the decisive outcome reflected in trader pricing. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges to vote totals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the scale of the reported lead and standard recount thresholds.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Volume
$54,938Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary by a wide margin, taking roughly 49-50% of the vote across all four counties while her nearest rival, Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson, finished around 30-32% and the remaining candidates trailed further behind. Her background as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and national security professional drew consolidated support from party leaders, donors, and voters focused on cost-of-living issues in this Hudson Valley swing district. The fragmented field and Conley’s organizational and fundraising advantages produced the decisive outcome reflected in trader pricing. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges to vote totals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the scale of the reported lead and standard recount thresholds.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$54,938Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary by a wide margin, taking roughly 49-50% of the vote across all four counties while her nearest rival, Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson, finished around 30-32% and the remaining candidates trailed further behind. Her background as a West Point graduate, Army combat veteran, and national security professional drew consolidated support from party leaders, donors, and voters focused on cost-of-living issues in this Hudson Valley swing district. The fragmented field and Conley’s organizational and fundraising advantages produced the decisive outcome reflected in trader pricing. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges to vote totals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the scale of the reported lead and standard recount thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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