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Desporto·Futebol

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

icon for Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager
Desporto·Futebol

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

Marco Silva 99.5%

Cesc Fabregas <1%

Zinedine Zidane <1%

Angel Di Maria <1%

Polymarket

$11,242 Vol.

Marco Silva 99.5%

Cesc Fabregas <1%

Zinedine Zidane <1%

Angel Di Maria <1%

Polymarket

$11,242 Vol.

Marco Silva

$1,695 Vol.

100%

Cesc Fabregas

$1,122 Vol.

<1%

Zinedine Zidane

$1,323 Vol.

<1%

Angel Di Maria

$833 Vol.

<1%

Filipe Luis

$686 Vol.

<1%

Ruben Amorim

$691 Vol.

<1%

Xavi Hernandez

$695 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Conte

$466 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Frank

$540 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Pochettino

$817 Vol.

<1%

Maurizio Sarri

$362 Vol.

<1%

Pep Guardiola

$642 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Glasner

$360 Vol.

<1%

Andoni Iraola

$597 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Ancelotti

$412 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's near-certain position in the Benfica manager market stems from the club's official confirmation of an agreement with the Portuguese coach to succeed José Mourinho, who departed for Real Madrid after Real triggered his release clause. Silva, fresh from five seasons at Fulham where he established Premier League stability, finalized a two-year deal with an extension option through 2028-29, aligning with Benfica's timeline for the 2026-27 Primeira Liga campaign and addressing the need for continuity amid title competition with Sporting CP and FC Porto. This rapid succession, facilitated by shared Portuguese connections and agent involvement, has consolidated trader consensus around the appointment's finality. Unlikely disruptions could still emerge from unforeseen contract complications, personal circumstances forcing withdrawal, or a sudden shift in club leadership priorities, though current reporting shows no such indicators.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,242
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's near-certain position in the Benfica manager market stems from the club's official confirmation of an agreement with the Portuguese coach to succeed José Mourinho, who departed for Real Madrid after Real triggered his release clause. Silva, fresh from five seasons at Fulham where he established Premier League stability, finalized a two-year deal with an extension option through 2028-29, aligning with Benfica's timeline for the 2026-27 Primeira Liga campaign and addressing the need for continuity amid title competition with Sporting CP and FC Porto. This rapid succession, facilitated by shared Portuguese connections and agent involvement, has consolidated trader consensus around the appointment's finality. Unlikely disruptions could still emerge from unforeseen contract complications, personal circumstances forcing withdrawal, or a sudden shift in club leadership priorities, though current reporting shows no such indicators.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,242
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Silva" at 100%, followed by "Cesc Fabregas" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" has generated $11.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is "Marco Silva" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cesc Fabregas" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.