Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), a parasitic fly whose larvae infest living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans, have driven market focus. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, in a Texas calf, followed by four more cases across Zavala, La Salle, and Gillespie counties in Texas plus Lea County, New Mexico, as of June 9. These mark the first domestic infestations in decades after northward spread through Central America and Mexico, where cumulative animal cases exceed 185,000. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5 covering all counties, while USDA activated quarantines, movement controls, enhanced surveillance, and sterile male fly releases—the established eradication method. No federal national emergency has been declared; trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections or further model runs will prompt one. Key upcoming data include daily USDA case reports and surveillance updates that could alter containment assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NOVO
1 jan 2027
30 de junho
36%
August 30
51%
31 de outubro
52%
December 31
52%
$3 Vol.
30 de junho
$3 Vol.
36%
August 30
$0 Vol.
51%
31 de outubro
$0 Vol.
52%
December 31
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), a parasitic fly whose larvae infest living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans, have driven market focus. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, in a Texas calf, followed by four more cases across Zavala, La Salle, and Gillespie counties in Texas plus Lea County, New Mexico, as of June 9. These mark the first domestic infestations in decades after northward spread through Central America and Mexico, where cumulative animal cases exceed 185,000. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5 covering all counties, while USDA activated quarantines, movement controls, enhanced surveillance, and sterile male fly releases—the established eradication method. No federal national emergency has been declared; trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections or further model runs will prompt one. Key upcoming data include daily USDA case reports and surveillance updates that could alter containment assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$3Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), a parasitic fly whose larvae infest living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans, have driven market focus. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, in a Texas calf, followed by four more cases across Zavala, La Salle, and Gillespie counties in Texas plus Lea County, New Mexico, as of June 9. These mark the first domestic infestations in decades after northward spread through Central America and Mexico, where cumulative animal cases exceed 185,000. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5 covering all counties, while USDA activated quarantines, movement controls, enhanced surveillance, and sterile male fly releases—the established eradication method. No federal national emergency has been declared; trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections or further model runs will prompt one. Key upcoming data include daily USDA case reports and surveillance updates that could alter containment assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), a parasitic fly whose larvae infest living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans, have driven market focus. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case on June 3, 2026, in a Texas calf, followed by four more cases across Zavala, La Salle, and Gillespie counties in Texas plus Lea County, New Mexico, as of June 9. These mark the first domestic infestations in decades after northward spread through Central America and Mexico, where cumulative animal cases exceed 185,000. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5 covering all counties, while USDA activated quarantines, movement controls, enhanced surveillance, and sterile male fly releases—the established eradication method. No federal national emergency has been declared; trader sentiment centers on whether expanding detections or further model runs will prompt one. Key upcoming data include daily USDA case reports and surveillance updates that could alter containment assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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