**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal August competition are anchoring trader sentiment around a 38–41 million fourth-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*.** After a record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million sophomore frame, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry posted a $70.7 million third weekend, reflecting typical post-holiday legs but still ranking among the strongest holds for a summer tentpole. Positive critic and audience scores, including high Rotten Tomatoes and Letterboxd marks, plus added IMAX screenings, support expectations of a modest 45–50 percent drop. The 55.5 percent implied probability on the 38–41 million band reflects this steady momentum, while the low odds on sub-35 million or 44 million-plus outcomes underscore limited downside risk and the unlikelihood of a surprise surge with little counterprogramming on the horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria
38-41 milhões 55%
35-38 milhões 38%
<35m 6.6%
41-44 milhões 5.3%
NOVO
$10,705 Vol.
NOVO
$10,705 Vol.
23 ago 2026
<35m
7%
35-38 milhões
38%
38-41 milhões
55%
41-44 milhões
5%
44 milhões+
2%
38-41 milhões 55%
35-38 milhões 38%
<35m 6.6%
41-44 milhões 5.3%
NOVO
$10,705 Vol.
NOVO
$10,705 Vol.
23 ago 2026
<35m
$4,535 Vol.
7%
35-38 milhões
$1,358 Vol.
38%
38-41 milhões
$2,464 Vol.
55%
41-44 milhões
$1,276 Vol.
5%
44 milhões+
$1,072 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal August competition are anchoring trader sentiment around a 38–41 million fourth-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*.** After a record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million sophomore frame, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry posted a $70.7 million third weekend, reflecting typical post-holiday legs but still ranking among the strongest holds for a summer tentpole. Positive critic and audience scores, including high Rotten Tomatoes and Letterboxd marks, plus added IMAX screenings, support expectations of a modest 45–50 percent drop. The 55.5 percent implied probability on the 38–41 million band reflects this steady momentum, while the low odds on sub-35 million or 44 million-plus outcomes underscore limited downside risk and the unlikelihood of a surprise surge with little counterprogramming on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,705Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal August competition are anchoring trader sentiment around a 38–41 million fourth-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*.** After a record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million sophomore frame, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry posted a $70.7 million third weekend, reflecting typical post-holiday legs but still ranking among the strongest holds for a summer tentpole. Positive critic and audience scores, including high Rotten Tomatoes and Letterboxd marks, plus added IMAX screenings, support expectations of a modest 45–50 percent drop. The 55.5 percent implied probability on the 38–41 million band reflects this steady momentum, while the low odds on sub-35 million or 44 million-plus outcomes underscore limited downside risk and the unlikelihood of a surprise surge with little counterprogramming on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,705Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal August competition are anchoring trader sentiment around a 38–41 million fourth-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*.** After a record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million sophomore frame, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry posted a $70.7 million third weekend, reflecting typical post-holiday legs but still ranking among the strongest holds for a summer tentpole. Positive critic and audience scores, including high Rotten Tomatoes and Letterboxd marks, plus added IMAX screenings, support expectations of a modest 45–50 percent drop. The 55.5 percent implied probability on the 38–41 million band reflects this steady momentum, while the low odds on sub-35 million or 44 million-plus outcomes underscore limited downside risk and the unlikelihood of a surprise surge with little counterprogramming on the horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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