President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his AKP have sustained efforts to replace the 1982 military-era constitution, with a party commission preparing proposals and briefing the president on a potential roadmap as recently as May 2026. Erdoğan publicly renewed calls for a civilian charter emphasizing rights and freedoms, while AKP officials described the work as ongoing and tied to broader reform priorities. However, advancing any new constitution or major referendum in 2026 requires at least 360 parliamentary votes or a viable cross-party coalition for passage, a threshold the ruling bloc has not secured amid opposition resistance. Recent modest seat gains have not altered this arithmetic, leaving traders to price limited near-term movement despite the preparatory activity.