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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Imobiliário

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Imobiliário

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

$1,089M - $1,125M 53%

$1,053M - $1,089M 26%

$1,125M - $1,161M 5.4%

$1,017M - $1,053M 5.0%

Polymarket

$62,719 Vol.

$1,089M - $1,125M 53%

$1,053M - $1,089M 26%

$1,125M - $1,161M 5.4%

$1,017M - $1,053M 5.0%

Polymarket

$62,719 Vol.

<US$ 1,017M

$1,586 Vol.

2%

$1,017M - $1,053M

$3,116 Vol.

5%

$1,053M - $1,089M

$9,494 Vol.

26%

$1,089M - $1,125M

$31,820 Vol.

53%

$1,125M - $1,161M

$13,208 Vol.

5%

$1,161M - $1,196M

$1,591 Vol.

2%

$1,196M+

$1,903 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Recent stabilization around $1.10 million in Miami’s median home value—following a peak above $1.22 million earlier in 2026—positions the $1.089M–$1.125M range as the leading outcome with 51.5% implied probability. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.58%, a shift toward buyer-friendly conditions with longer days on market and price reductions, and segment divergence (single-family medians rising modestly while condo prices remain flat or lower) have tempered upward momentum. Stronger sales volumes, particularly in the $1 million-plus segment, and resilient luxury demand provide some support, yet broader inventory dynamics and limited near-term catalysts suggest limited movement before the September 30 resolution. Traders appear to price in modest consolidation rather than renewed appreciation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$62,719
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Recent stabilization around $1.10 million in Miami’s median home value—following a peak above $1.22 million earlier in 2026—positions the $1.089M–$1.125M range as the leading outcome with 51.5% implied probability. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.58%, a shift toward buyer-friendly conditions with longer days on market and price reductions, and segment divergence (single-family medians rising modestly while condo prices remain flat or lower) have tempered upward momentum. Stronger sales volumes, particularly in the $1 million-plus segment, and resilient luxury demand provide some support, yet broader inventory dynamics and limited near-term catalysts suggest limited movement before the September 30 resolution. Traders appear to price in modest consolidation rather than renewed appreciation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$62,719
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1,089M - $1,125M" at 53%, followed by "$1,053M - $1,089M" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?" has generated $62.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?" is "$1,089M - $1,125M" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1,053M - $1,089M" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.