Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$636K - $663K 62.1%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
US$ 582K - US$ 609K 5.2%
$31,495 Vol.
$31,495 Vol.
30 set 2026
<US$555 mil
<1%
$555K - $582K
1%
US$ 582K - US$ 609K
5%
$609K - $636K
26%
$636K - $663K
62%
$663K - $689K
9%
US$ 689 mil+
2%
$636K - $663K 62.1%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
US$ 582K - US$ 609K 5.2%
$31,495 Vol.
$31,495 Vol.
30 set 2026
<US$555 mil
$628 Vol.
<1%
$555K - $582K
$1,880 Vol.
1%
US$ 582K - US$ 609K
$508 Vol.
5%
$609K - $636K
$7,118 Vol.
26%
$636K - $663K
$19,911 Vol.
62%
$663K - $689K
$687 Vol.
9%
US$ 689 mil+
$762 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$31,495Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$31,495Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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