Skip to main content
icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

$10,551 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$10,551 Vol.

Polymarket

Noah Kahan

$5 Vol.

44%

Gracie Abrams

$28 Vol.

43%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

42%

Bruno Mars

$50 Vol.

40%

Olivia Dean

$4,273 Vol.

13%

Alex Warren

$2,031 Vol.

6%

Bad Bunny

$0 Vol.

6%

Don Toliver

$458 Vol.

5%

Kanye West

$0 Vol.

4%

Ariana Grande

$1,005 Vol.

57%

Beyoncé

$2 Vol.

45%

Taylor Swift

$88 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" continues its record-setting run at the top of the Billboard Hot 100 into mid-May, now at nine weeks and fueled by strong streaming and radio airplay that have kept competing tracks at bay. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" sits in the top three and could challenge for the top spot with sustained momentum, while new entries like Tame Impala and JENNIE's collaboration are climbing quickly on the strength of viral streaming. Drake's "Iceman" album, which dropped on May 15, is poised to deliver major chart impact through anticipated blockbuster numbers, and upcoming weekly updates will reveal whether fresh releases or catalog surges can break through the current logjam before May closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$10,551
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" continues its record-setting run at the top of the Billboard Hot 100 into mid-May, now at nine weeks and fueled by strong streaming and radio airplay that have kept competing tracks at bay. Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" sits in the top three and could challenge for the top spot with sustained momentum, while new entries like Tame Impala and JENNIE's collaboration are climbing quickly on the strength of viral streaming. Drake's "Iceman" album, which dropped on May 15, is poised to deliver major chart impact through anticipated blockbuster numbers, and upcoming weekly updates will reveal whether fresh releases or catalog surges can break through the current logjam before May closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$10,551
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, followed by "Drake" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Drake" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.