US law enforcement agencies have intensified targeting of Mexican cartel leadership through designations as foreign terrorist organizations, large-scale reward programs, and cross-border operations focused on fentanyl trafficking networks. In August 2026, the Department of Justice unsealed charges against multiple CJNG figures and announced over $100 million in rewards for eight high-ranking fugitives, including several regional commanders. Parallel efforts against the Sinaloa Cartel continue, with multimillion-dollar bounties posted for remaining Chapitos leaders and joint US-Mexico actions yielding arrests and extraditions into 2026. These initiatives, building on 2025 narco-terrorism indictments and prior high-profile captures, shape trader assessments of which specific names on the market may resolve affirmatively by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuais líderes de cartel serão presos em 2026?
Quais líderes de cartel serão presos em 2026?
$143,093 Vol.
28 fev 2026
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
67%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
48%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
50%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
46%
$143,093 Vol.
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
$5,906 Vol.
67%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
$5,848 Vol.
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 Vol.
48%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$4,874 Vol.
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
$58,662 Vol.
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
$200 Vol.
50%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
$658 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US law enforcement agencies have intensified targeting of Mexican cartel leadership through designations as foreign terrorist organizations, large-scale reward programs, and cross-border operations focused on fentanyl trafficking networks. In August 2026, the Department of Justice unsealed charges against multiple CJNG figures and announced over $100 million in rewards for eight high-ranking fugitives, including several regional commanders. Parallel efforts against the Sinaloa Cartel continue, with multimillion-dollar bounties posted for remaining Chapitos leaders and joint US-Mexico actions yielding arrests and extraditions into 2026. These initiatives, building on 2025 narco-terrorism indictments and prior high-profile captures, shape trader assessments of which specific names on the market may resolve affirmatively by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Volume
$143,093Data de Término
28 fev 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US law enforcement agencies have intensified targeting of Mexican cartel leadership through designations as foreign terrorist organizations, large-scale reward programs, and cross-border operations focused on fentanyl trafficking networks. In August 2026, the Department of Justice unsealed charges against multiple CJNG figures and announced over $100 million in rewards for eight high-ranking fugitives, including several regional commanders. Parallel efforts against the Sinaloa Cartel continue, with multimillion-dollar bounties posted for remaining Chapitos leaders and joint US-Mexico actions yielding arrests and extraditions into 2026. These initiatives, building on 2025 narco-terrorism indictments and prior high-profile captures, shape trader assessments of which specific names on the market may resolve affirmatively by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$143,093Data de Término
28 fev 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US law enforcement agencies have intensified targeting of Mexican cartel leadership through designations as foreign terrorist organizations, large-scale reward programs, and cross-border operations focused on fentanyl trafficking networks. In August 2026, the Department of Justice unsealed charges against multiple CJNG figures and announced over $100 million in rewards for eight high-ranking fugitives, including several regional commanders. Parallel efforts against the Sinaloa Cartel continue, with multimillion-dollar bounties posted for remaining Chapitos leaders and joint US-Mexico actions yielding arrests and extraditions into 2026. These initiatives, building on 2025 narco-terrorism indictments and prior high-profile captures, shape trader assessments of which specific names on the market may resolve affirmatively by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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