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Política·Dinamarca

Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?

icon for Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?
Política·Dinamarca

Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?

$125,661 Vol.

24 mar 2026
Polymarket

$125,661 Vol.

Polymarket

Social-Democratas

$4,269 Vol.

85%

Moderates

$4,811 Vol.

90%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,438 Vol.

79%

Venstre

$17,108 Vol.

70%

Partido Verde

$41,367 Vol.

42%

Aliança Liberal

$10,126 Vol.

11%

Partido Popular Dinamarquês

$5,056 Vol.

6%

Naleraq

$1,516 Vol.

8%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Vol.

22%

Partido da União

$7,261 Vol.

3%

O Alternativo

$4,201 Vol.

2%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 Vol.

2%

Democratas da Dinamarca

$5,796 Vol.

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Vol.

1%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Partido Popular Conservador

$553 Vol.

42%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a fragmented result with no bloc securing the 90 seats needed for a majority, as the incumbent Social Democrats-led centrist coalition lost ground while left-leaning parties collectively edged ahead. Prolonged coalition negotiations under caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen reached a stalemate in early May, prompting the king to shift the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right talks. The Moderates hold decisive leverage as kingmakers, with viable paths likely requiring cross-bloc support involving the Social Democrats, Venstre, or additional centrists to achieve stability amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,661
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a fragmented result with no bloc securing the 90 seats needed for a majority, as the incumbent Social Democrats-led centrist coalition lost ground while left-leaning parties collectively edged ahead. Prolonged coalition negotiations under caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen reached a stalemate in early May, prompting the king to shift the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right talks. The Moderates hold decisive leverage as kingmakers, with viable paths likely requiring cross-bloc support involving the Social Democrats, Venstre, or additional centrists to achieve stability amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,661
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Moderates" at 90%, followed by "Social-Democratas" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?" has generated $125.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?" is "Moderates" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Social-Democratas" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais partidos farão parte do próximo Governo da Dinamarca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.