Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?
Política·Sondagem

Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?

icon for Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?
Política·Sondagem

Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Republicanos

Republicanos

$0 Vol.

60%

icon for Democratas

Democratas

$0 Vol.

49%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women remain a closely divided yet historically Republican-leaning demographic heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot surveys showing white registered voters favoring GOP House candidates by double digits while overall women show a Democratic edge. Recent polling from Pew and others highlights this split, driven by sustained support among white Christian and suburban segments amid economic concerns, inflation trends, and turnout patterns that have favored Republicans in 2022 and 2024 cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural voting blocs and path-to-victory dynamics, assigning Republicans the highest probability at 60% while Democrats sit near even odds, underscoring the role of gender gaps, education levels, and regional differences in shaping the outcome.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women remain a closely divided yet historically Republican-leaning demographic heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot surveys showing white registered voters favoring GOP House candidates by double digits while overall women show a Democratic edge. Recent polling from Pew and others highlights this split, driven by sustained support among white Christian and suburban segments amid economic concerns, inflation trends, and turnout patterns that have favored Republicans in 2022 and 2024 cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural voting blocs and path-to-victory dynamics, assigning Republicans the highest probability at 60% while Democrats sit near even odds, underscoring the role of gender gaps, education levels, and regional differences in shaping the outcome.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Os democratas irão conquistar as mulheres mais velhas nas eleições de meio de mandato?

Os democratas irão conquistar as mulheres mais velhas nas eleições de meio de mandato?

48%
Sim
icon for Os democratas vencerão entre os homens latinos nas eleições de meio de mandato?

Os democratas vencerão entre os homens latinos nas eleições de meio de mandato?

54%
Sim
icon for Os democratas vencerão entre os homens jovens nas eleições de meio de mandato?

Os democratas vencerão entre os homens jovens nas eleições de meio de mandato?

73%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Republicanos" at 60%, followed by "Democratas" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?" is "Republicanos" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democratas" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual partido ganhará mulheres brancas nas eleições de meio de mandato?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.