Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and Iran-related supply risks, have kept Brent crude near $85 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline prices at a national average of $4.066 as of August 16 per AAA data. This elevated level reflects asymmetric pass-through dynamics where pump prices rise quickly with crude but adjust more slowly downward, alongside tight inventories and strong refinery utilization. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds by August 31 incorporates seasonal demand fade, upcoming EIA weekly inventory releases, and potential de-escalation signals that could pressure oil benchmarks lower. Market-implied odds embed these probabilities amid uncertainty over policy responses and global demand trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
31 ago 2026
↑ $5,00
5%
↑ $4,75
2%
↑ $4,50
12%
↑ $4,25
22%
↓ $3,90
21%
↓ US$ 3,70
11%
↓ $3,50
5%
↓ $3,25
3%
↓ US$ 3,00
8%
↓ $2,50
2%
$8,821 Vol.
↑ $5,00
$2,363 Vol.
5%
↑ $4,75
$297 Vol.
2%
↑ $4,50
$2,105 Vol.
12%
↑ $4,25
$1,585 Vol.
22%
↓ $3,90
$482 Vol.
21%
↓ US$ 3,70
$1,502 Vol.
11%
↓ $3,50
$155 Vol.
5%
↓ $3,25
$18 Vol.
3%
↓ US$ 3,00
$79 Vol.
8%
↓ $2,50
$235 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and Iran-related supply risks, have kept Brent crude near $85 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline prices at a national average of $4.066 as of August 16 per AAA data. This elevated level reflects asymmetric pass-through dynamics where pump prices rise quickly with crude but adjust more slowly downward, alongside tight inventories and strong refinery utilization. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds by August 31 incorporates seasonal demand fade, upcoming EIA weekly inventory releases, and potential de-escalation signals that could pressure oil benchmarks lower. Market-implied odds embed these probabilities amid uncertainty over policy responses and global demand trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$8,821Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and Iran-related supply risks, have kept Brent crude near $85 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline prices at a national average of $4.066 as of August 16 per AAA data. This elevated level reflects asymmetric pass-through dynamics where pump prices rise quickly with crude but adjust more slowly downward, alongside tight inventories and strong refinery utilization. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds by August 31 incorporates seasonal demand fade, upcoming EIA weekly inventory releases, and potential de-escalation signals that could pressure oil benchmarks lower. Market-implied odds embed these probabilities amid uncertainty over policy responses and global demand trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$8,821Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and Iran-related supply risks, have kept Brent crude near $85 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline prices at a national average of $4.066 as of August 16 per AAA data. This elevated level reflects asymmetric pass-through dynamics where pump prices rise quickly with crude but adjust more slowly downward, alongside tight inventories and strong refinery utilization. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds by August 31 incorporates seasonal demand fade, upcoming EIA weekly inventory releases, and potential de-escalation signals that could pressure oil benchmarks lower. Market-implied odds embed these probabilities amid uncertainty over policy responses and global demand trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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