**US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?** The revocation of General License X on July 7, 2026, following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor shaping trader views. That 60-day waiver, issued in late June to support U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections, asset access, and Hormuz transit, briefly permitted dollar-denominated Iranian crude, petrochemical, and petroleum sales through August 21 and theoretically reopened limited U.S. imports. Its abrupt wind-down by mid-July tightened export channels, reinforced maximum-pressure enforcement, and left Iranian barrels largely confined to discounted sales, primarily to China. With no subsequent OFAC general license or waiver reported through September, market-implied probabilities for reissuance by end-August stayed depressed. Traders continue to monitor Brent and WTI benchmarks, any renewed diplomatic signals from the Trump administration, and OFAC actions for signs that broader sanctions relief could re-emerge ahead of final-deal negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$361,166 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
10%
31 de outubro
31%
$361,166 Vol.
30 de setembro
$22,140 Vol.
10%
31 de outubro
$8,756 Vol.
31%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.**US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?**
The revocation of General License X on July 7, 2026, following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor shaping trader views. That 60-day waiver, issued in late June to support U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections, asset access, and Hormuz transit, briefly permitted dollar-denominated Iranian crude, petrochemical, and petroleum sales through August 21 and theoretically reopened limited U.S. imports. Its abrupt wind-down by mid-July tightened export channels, reinforced maximum-pressure enforcement, and left Iranian barrels largely confined to discounted sales, primarily to China. With no subsequent OFAC general license or waiver reported through September, market-implied probabilities for reissuance by end-August stayed depressed. Traders continue to monitor Brent and WTI benchmarks, any renewed diplomatic signals from the Trump administration, and OFAC actions for signs that broader sanctions relief could re-emerge ahead of final-deal negotiations.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Volume
$361,166Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.**US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?**
The revocation of General License X on July 7, 2026, following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor shaping trader views. That 60-day waiver, issued in late June to support U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections, asset access, and Hormuz transit, briefly permitted dollar-denominated Iranian crude, petrochemical, and petroleum sales through August 21 and theoretically reopened limited U.S. imports. Its abrupt wind-down by mid-July tightened export channels, reinforced maximum-pressure enforcement, and left Iranian barrels largely confined to discounted sales, primarily to China. With no subsequent OFAC general license or waiver reported through September, market-implied probabilities for reissuance by end-August stayed depressed. Traders continue to monitor Brent and WTI benchmarks, any renewed diplomatic signals from the Trump administration, and OFAC actions for signs that broader sanctions relief could re-emerge ahead of final-deal negotiations.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
Volume
$361,166Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?** The revocation of General License X on July 7, 2026, following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor shaping trader views. That 60-day waiver, issued in late June to support U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections, asset access, and Hormuz transit, briefly permitted dollar-denominated Iranian crude, petrochemical, and petroleum sales through August 21 and theoretically reopened limited U.S. imports. Its abrupt wind-down by mid-July tightened export channels, reinforced maximum-pressure enforcement, and left Iranian barrels largely confined to discounted sales, primarily to China. With no subsequent OFAC general license or waiver reported through September, market-implied probabilities for reissuance by end-August stayed depressed. Traders continue to monitor Brent and WTI benchmarks, any renewed diplomatic signals from the Trump administration, and OFAC actions for signs that broader sanctions relief could re-emerge ahead of final-deal negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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