Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced on May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.4% implied probability for "Yes." The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner and defending champions' captain has continued his international cycle under coach Lionel Scaloni, with fitness concerns from late-May Inter Miami matches resolved as minor muscle fatigue rather than serious injury. Historical precedent for a record sixth appearance, combined with his public desire to compete when match-sharp, reinforces trader confidence ahead of the North American tournament. A late serious injury remains the only realistic path to an upset outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$264,736 Vol.
$264,736 Vol.
19 jul 2026
Sim
$264,736 Vol.
$264,736 Vol.
19 jul 2026
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced on May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.4% implied probability for "Yes." The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner and defending champions' captain has continued his international cycle under coach Lionel Scaloni, with fitness concerns from late-May Inter Miami matches resolved as minor muscle fatigue rather than serious injury. Historical precedent for a record sixth appearance, combined with his public desire to compete when match-sharp, reinforces trader confidence ahead of the North American tournament. A late serious injury remains the only realistic path to an upset outcome.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$264,736Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced on May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.4% implied probability for "Yes." The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner and defending champions' captain has continued his international cycle under coach Lionel Scaloni, with fitness concerns from late-May Inter Miami matches resolved as minor muscle fatigue rather than serious injury. Historical precedent for a record sixth appearance, combined with his public desire to compete when match-sharp, reinforces trader confidence ahead of the North American tournament. A late serious injury remains the only realistic path to an upset outcome.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$264,736Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lionel Messi's inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced on May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.4% implied probability for "Yes." The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner and defending champions' captain has continued his international cycle under coach Lionel Scaloni, with fitness concerns from late-May Inter Miami matches resolved as minor muscle fatigue rather than serious injury. Historical precedent for a record sixth appearance, combined with his public desire to compete when match-sharp, reinforces trader confidence ahead of the North American tournament. A late serious injury remains the only realistic path to an upset outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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