The S&P 500 has extended its rally into new record territory near 7,500, supported by robust earnings from AI-driven semiconductor and technology names amid strong trading volumes. Hotter-than-expected April inflation readings have elevated Treasury yields and prompted traders to price in a higher probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes or an extended hold through year-end, with 71% odds now assigned to no cuts in 2026. Key catalysts for the week of May 18 include the May 20 release of April FOMC minutes, which may clarify the central bank’s response to persistent inflation and geopolitical energy pressures, alongside housing market data such as NAHB sentiment and pending home sales. These releases will likely shape near-term volatility and implied probabilities around index thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 18 2026?
↑ $770
8%
↑ $765
50%
↑ $760
51%
↑ $755
33%
↑ $750
48%
↑ $745
70%
↑ $740
72%
↓ $735
65%
↓ $730
54%
↓ $725
42%
↓ $720
30%
↓ $715
51%
↓ $710
50%
↓ $705
15%
$881 Vol.
↑ $770
8%
↑ $765
50%
↑ $760
51%
↑ $755
33%
↑ $750
48%
↑ $745
70%
↑ $740
72%
↓ $735
65%
↓ $730
54%
↓ $725
42%
↓ $720
30%
↓ $715
51%
↓ $710
50%
↓ $705
15%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 has extended its rally into new record territory near 7,500, supported by robust earnings from AI-driven semiconductor and technology names amid strong trading volumes. Hotter-than-expected April inflation readings have elevated Treasury yields and prompted traders to price in a higher probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes or an extended hold through year-end, with 71% odds now assigned to no cuts in 2026. Key catalysts for the week of May 18 include the May 20 release of April FOMC minutes, which may clarify the central bank’s response to persistent inflation and geopolitical energy pressures, alongside housing market data such as NAHB sentiment and pending home sales. These releases will likely shape near-term volatility and implied probabilities around index thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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