Traders currently price a 74.5% chance that Donald Trump will not make a middle-finger gesture in public during 2026, reflecting the absence of recent incidents or statements suggesting repetition. Focus remains on legislative priorities, executive actions, and diplomatic engagements rather than isolated personal conduct. No verified episodes have occurred in the past several months, and patterns from prior years show such gestures as infrequent and unrelated to scheduled political milestones like congressional votes or policy announcements. This consensus aligns with expectations of standard conduct in official capacities through the remainder of the term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$47,817 Vol.
$47,817 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$47,817 Vol.
$47,817 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.Traders currently price a 74.5% chance that Donald Trump will not make a middle-finger gesture in public during 2026, reflecting the absence of recent incidents or statements suggesting repetition. Focus remains on legislative priorities, executive actions, and diplomatic engagements rather than isolated personal conduct. No verified episodes have occurred in the past several months, and patterns from prior years show such gestures as infrequent and unrelated to scheduled political milestones like congressional votes or policy announcements. This consensus aligns with expectations of standard conduct in official capacities through the remainder of the term.
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$47,817Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.Traders currently price a 74.5% chance that Donald Trump will not make a middle-finger gesture in public during 2026, reflecting the absence of recent incidents or statements suggesting repetition. Focus remains on legislative priorities, executive actions, and diplomatic engagements rather than isolated personal conduct. No verified episodes have occurred in the past several months, and patterns from prior years show such gestures as infrequent and unrelated to scheduled political milestones like congressional votes or policy announcements. This consensus aligns with expectations of standard conduct in official capacities through the remainder of the term.
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Volume
$47,817Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders currently price a 74.5% chance that Donald Trump will not make a middle-finger gesture in public during 2026, reflecting the absence of recent incidents or statements suggesting repetition. Focus remains on legislative priorities, executive actions, and diplomatic engagements rather than isolated personal conduct. No verified episodes have occurred in the past several months, and patterns from prior years show such gestures as infrequent and unrelated to scheduled political milestones like congressional votes or policy announcements. This consensus aligns with expectations of standard conduct in official capacities through the remainder of the term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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