US commercial crude oil inventories stood at 428.9 million barrels for the week ended August 21, roughly 1% above the five-year seasonal average, after four consecutive modest builds amid steady domestic production near 13.8 million barrels per day and refinery utilization at 97.4% of capacity. High refinery crude runs, fluctuating imports and exports, and seasonal demand patterns have supported the recent inventory uptick, even as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve continued drawing down to 289.7 million barrels due to ongoing geopolitical releases tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Weekly EIA Petroleum Status Reports, including the September 2 release covering the week ending August 28, will provide the primary data points ahead of the September 25 resolution, with traders closely monitoring any shifts in net imports, refinery inputs, or export volumes that could reverse the build trend. Market-implied odds reflect the current balanced-to-loose physical supply picture relative to historical norms and forward-looking global inventory deficit projections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado280M
96%
270M
38%
260M
32%
250M
28%
200M
10%
$882 Vol.
280M
96%
270M
38%
260M
32%
250M
28%
200M
10%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US commercial crude oil inventories stood at 428.9 million barrels for the week ended August 21, roughly 1% above the five-year seasonal average, after four consecutive modest builds amid steady domestic production near 13.8 million barrels per day and refinery utilization at 97.4% of capacity. High refinery crude runs, fluctuating imports and exports, and seasonal demand patterns have supported the recent inventory uptick, even as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve continued drawing down to 289.7 million barrels due to ongoing geopolitical releases tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Weekly EIA Petroleum Status Reports, including the September 2 release covering the week ending August 28, will provide the primary data points ahead of the September 25 resolution, with traders closely monitoring any shifts in net imports, refinery inputs, or export volumes that could reverse the build trend. Market-implied odds reflect the current balanced-to-loose physical supply picture relative to historical norms and forward-looking global inventory deficit projections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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