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Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze

icon for Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze

Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze

Rodri 9%

Michael Olise 8%

Pedri 8%

Vinícius Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Rodri 9%

Michael Olise 8%

Pedri 8%

Vinícius Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Rodri

$65 Vol.

9%

Michael Olise

$65 Vol.

28%

Pedri

$65 Vol.

13%

Vinícius Jr.

$64 Vol.

27%

Bruno Fernandes

$65 Vol.

12%

Vitinha

$65 Vol.

7%

Bukayo Saka

$63 Vol.

26%

Declan Rice

$65 Vol.

7%

Ousmane Dembélé

$65 Vol.

6%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$65 Vol.

6%

Jude Bellingham

$65 Vol.

25%

Gavi

$135 Vol.

5%

Florian Wirtz

$65 Vol.

26%

Neymar

$65 Vol.

26%

Kylian Mbappé

$65 Vol.

10%

Lionel Messi

$45 Vol.

4%

Lamine Yamal

$60 Vol.

21%

Harry Kane

$65 Vol.

26%

Rayan Cherki

$72 Vol.

27%

Erling Haaland

$65 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup field remains wide open for the Bronze Ball award, with numerous elite attackers and midfielders clustered near the front of the market. A deep pool of talent across strong national teams, including several with realistic paths to deep tournament runs, has kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. Recent form from European club seasons, combined with strong showings in qualifiers and friendlies, supports broad trader consensus that no single player holds a decisive edge entering the group stage. Late roster announcements and fitness updates could still shift individual chances, but the current pricing reflects the inherent unpredictability of a 48-team format and the historical tendency for the award to reward standout performances across multiple matches rather than pre-tournament expectations.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,348
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup field remains wide open for the Bronze Ball award, with numerous elite attackers and midfielders clustered near the front of the market. A deep pool of talent across strong national teams, including several with realistic paths to deep tournament runs, has kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. Recent form from European club seasons, combined with strong showings in qualifiers and friendlies, supports broad trader consensus that no single player holds a decisive edge entering the group stage. Late roster announcements and fitness updates could still shift individual chances, but the current pricing reflects the inherent unpredictability of a 48-team format and the historical tendency for the award to reward standout performances across multiple matches rather than pre-tournament expectations.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,348
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Olise" at 28%, followed by "Vinícius Jr." at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze" is "Michael Olise" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vinícius Jr." at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Copa do Mundo: Bola de Bronze" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.