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Desporto·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner
Desporto·Recompensas 50, 4.5, 20

World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner

Álvaro Morata 21.3%

Julián Álvarez 14%

Lamine Yamal 7%

Vinícius Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Álvaro Morata 21.3%

Julián Álvarez 14%

Lamine Yamal 7%

Vinícius Jr. 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Álvaro Morata

$438 Vol.

21%

Julián Álvarez

$32 Vol.

22%

Lamine Yamal

$38 Vol.

16%

Vinícius Jr.

$38 Vol.

11%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$32 Vol.

23%

Richarlison

$88 Vol.

1%

Kylian Mbappé

$38 Vol.

32%

Harry Kane

$32 Vol.

38%

Lionel Messi

$32 Vol.

33%

Erling Haaland

$32 Vol.

38%

Ousmane Dembélé

$19 Vol.

-

Cristiano Ronaldo

$32 Vol.

32%

Lautaro Martínez

$32 Vol.

34%

Nick Woltemade

$38 Vol.

33%

Romelu Lukaku

$4 Vol.

-

Ferran Torres

$32 Vol.

33%

Raphinha

$32 Vol.

36%

Cody Gakpo

$32 Vol.

35%

Bukayo Saka

$32 Vol.

35%

Jude Bellingham

$32 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,087
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,087
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 39%, followed by "Erling Haaland" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner" is "Harry Kane" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erling Haaland" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.