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Desporto·Futebol

Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?

icon for Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?
Desporto·Futebol

Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?

21% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
21% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi's advancing age at 38, combined with a recent left hamstring strain sustained in late May with Inter Miami, has limited his training and pre-tournament minutes ahead of Argentina's 2026 World Cup opener. While cleared for the squad, he is unlikely to feature in final warm-ups, raising questions about his set-piece workload and minutes in a deeper tournament run. Historically, Messi's free-kick conversion rate for the Albiceleste has declined, with his last international dead-ball goal coming in 2023 qualifiers, and MLS examples remain infrequent. Strong group-stage opponents and Scaloni's cautious management of the veteran further reduce opportunities for direct free-kick attempts from dangerous positions, aligning with trader consensus favoring the "no" outcome at 79% implied probability.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,451
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi's advancing age at 38, combined with a recent left hamstring strain sustained in late May with Inter Miami, has limited his training and pre-tournament minutes ahead of Argentina's 2026 World Cup opener. While cleared for the squad, he is unlikely to feature in final warm-ups, raising questions about his set-piece workload and minutes in a deeper tournament run. Historically, Messi's free-kick conversion rate for the Albiceleste has declined, with his last international dead-ball goal coming in 2023 qualifiers, and MLS examples remain infrequent. Strong group-stage opponents and Scaloni's cautious management of the veteran further reduce opportunities for direct free-kick attempts from dangerous positions, aligning with trader consensus favoring the "no" outcome at 79% implied probability.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,451
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 21% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 21¢, the market collectively assigns a 21% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

" Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on " Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for " Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?" is 21% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 21% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for " Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará um tiro livre?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.