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Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis

icon for Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis

Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis

NOVO
20 jul 2026
Polymarket

$68 Vol.

Polymarket

1+ matches

$57 Vol.

96%

2+ matches

$1 Vol.

88%

3+ matches

$0 Vol.

85%

4+ matches

$0 Vol.

50%

5+ matches

$0 Vol.

83%

6+ matches

$10 Vol.

77%

7+ matches

$0 Vol.

70%

8+ matches

$0 Vol.

62%

9+ matches

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1+ matches" at 96%, followed by "2+ matches" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis" is "1+ matches" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2+ matches" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Copa do Mundo: número de partidas decididas por pênaltis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.