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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,972,846,670 Vol.

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,972,846,670 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$37,748,715 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$44,355,948 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,700,342 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$39,607,924 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$35,307,258 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$35,005,386 Vol.

9%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$36,489,122 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$38,902,096 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$38,161,812 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$40,834,687 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$40,784,075 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$41,085,545 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$44,304,098 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$44,398,926 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$39,418,942 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$56,888,607 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$37,810,187 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$40,008,319 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$45,327,720 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$45,690,304 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$39,516,198 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$53,113,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$43,516,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$44,503,054 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$30,433,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$48,648,990 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,767,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$51,633,289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,901,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$37,408,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$45,123,840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$28,489,397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$42,590,819 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$58,199,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$31,709,468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$46,694,674 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,487,887 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,044,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,616,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,692,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,538,163 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,721,489 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,396,468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,886,632 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,267,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,248,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$42,040,819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,663,008 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites due to their depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and balanced squads heading into the expanded 48-team event. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League title, and Olympic gold underpin their narrow edge, though Lamine Yamal’s hamstring recovery introduces minor uncertainty for early group matches. France benefits from consistent final appearances and elite talent across positions, while England’s attacking options and recent form keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s back-to-back title bid, Brazil’s resurgence under new leadership, and Portugal’s star power maintain pressure on the top tier. The bunched probabilities reflect how injuries, fixture congestion, and the knockout format’s variance leave several European sides with realistic paths to the July final at MetLife Stadium.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,972,846,670
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites due to their depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and balanced squads heading into the expanded 48-team event. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League title, and Olympic gold underpin their narrow edge, though Lamine Yamal’s hamstring recovery introduces minor uncertainty for early group matches. France benefits from consistent final appearances and elite talent across positions, while England’s attacking options and recent form keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s back-to-back title bid, Brazil’s resurgence under new leadership, and Portugal’s star power maintain pressure on the top tier. The bunched probabilities reflect how injuries, fixture congestion, and the knockout format’s variance leave several European sides with realistic paths to the July final at MetLife Stadium.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,972,846,670
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $2 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.