ChatGPT holds the strongest position at 72% implied probability due to its sustained #1 ranking across US free and productivity charts through late August 2026, supported by over a billion monthly users, rapid iteration on large language model features such as image generation and voice mode, and consistent high engagement that outpaces rivals. Recent app updates on August 22 and 26 added bug fixes and refinements that reinforce retention, while broader market data shows it leading downloads and grossing charts amid competition from other AI tools. Vinted sits at 43.5% on shopping momentum and frequent top-3 appearances, with NBA 2K HQ, 7 Brew Coffee, and Threads clustered near 50% reflecting daily ranking volatility from niche spikes in sports, local promotions, or social activity. Claude by Anthropic trails at 11.3% after earlier surges tied to marketing and regulatory events but lacks current volume to challenge the leader. Traders view these probabilities as aggregated sentiment reflecting real download patterns and retention ahead of the September 4 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБесплатное приложение №1 в американском Apple App Store 4 сентября?
Бесплатное приложение №1 в американском Apple App Store 4 сентября?
ChatGPT 89%
Vinted 44%
Claude от Anthropic 6.8%
NBA 2K HQ 6%
ChatGPT
72%
Vinted
44%
Claude от Anthropic
7%
NBA 2K HQ
6%
7 Brew Coffee
6%
Threads
5%
ChatGPT 89%
Vinted 44%
Claude от Anthropic 6.8%
NBA 2K HQ 6%
ChatGPT
72%
Vinted
44%
Claude от Anthropic
7%
NBA 2K HQ
6%
7 Brew Coffee
6%
Threads
5%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT holds the strongest position at 72% implied probability due to its sustained #1 ranking across US free and productivity charts through late August 2026, supported by over a billion monthly users, rapid iteration on large language model features such as image generation and voice mode, and consistent high engagement that outpaces rivals. Recent app updates on August 22 and 26 added bug fixes and refinements that reinforce retention, while broader market data shows it leading downloads and grossing charts amid competition from other AI tools. Vinted sits at 43.5% on shopping momentum and frequent top-3 appearances, with NBA 2K HQ, 7 Brew Coffee, and Threads clustered near 50% reflecting daily ranking volatility from niche spikes in sports, local promotions, or social activity. Claude by Anthropic trails at 11.3% after earlier surges tied to marketing and regulatory events but lacks current volume to challenge the leader. Traders view these probabilities as aggregated sentiment reflecting real download patterns and retention ahead of the September 4 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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