Recent multiple incidents affecting Claude models such as Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, along with claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and Cowork, have reinforced trader views that scaling demands continue to strain Anthropic's infrastructure. August 2026 saw repeated elevated error rates and login disruptions, including a multi-hour outage on the 24th, aligning with a pattern of partial outages and degraded performance throughout the month. These events, amid high enterprise and developer usage, position 8-10 days as the leading outcome by implying a continuation of moderate but recurring downtime rather than full stabilization or escalation. Upcoming model releases or capacity upgrades could shift sentiment if they demonstrably improve reliability before September.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУйдет ли Клод на __ дней в сентябре?
Уйдет ли Клод на __ дней в сентябре?
8-10 41%
11-13 30%
5-7 21%
14+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<5
4%
5-7
21%
8-10
42%
11-13
30%
14+
7%
8-10 41%
11-13 30%
5-7 21%
14+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<5
$159 Объем
4%
5-7
$5 Объем
21%
8-10
$105 Объем
42%
11-13
$187 Объем
30%
14+
$93 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple incidents affecting Claude models such as Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, along with claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and Cowork, have reinforced trader views that scaling demands continue to strain Anthropic's infrastructure. August 2026 saw repeated elevated error rates and login disruptions, including a multi-hour outage on the 24th, aligning with a pattern of partial outages and degraded performance throughout the month. These events, amid high enterprise and developer usage, position 8-10 days as the leading outcome by implying a continuation of moderate but recurring downtime rather than full stabilization or escalation. Upcoming model releases or capacity upgrades could shift sentiment if they demonstrably improve reliability before September.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$550Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple incidents affecting Claude models such as Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, along with claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and Cowork, have reinforced trader views that scaling demands continue to strain Anthropic's infrastructure. August 2026 saw repeated elevated error rates and login disruptions, including a multi-hour outage on the 24th, aligning with a pattern of partial outages and degraded performance throughout the month. These events, amid high enterprise and developer usage, position 8-10 days as the leading outcome by implying a continuation of moderate but recurring downtime rather than full stabilization or escalation. Upcoming model releases or capacity upgrades could shift sentiment if they demonstrably improve reliability before September.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Объем
$550Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multiple incidents affecting Claude models such as Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5, along with claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and Cowork, have reinforced trader views that scaling demands continue to strain Anthropic's infrastructure. August 2026 saw repeated elevated error rates and login disruptions, including a multi-hour outage on the 24th, aligning with a pattern of partial outages and degraded performance throughout the month. These events, amid high enterprise and developer usage, position 8-10 days as the leading outcome by implying a continuation of moderate but recurring downtime rather than full stabilization or escalation. Upcoming model releases or capacity upgrades could shift sentiment if they demonstrably improve reliability before September.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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