Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement after the segment posted an 82.0% recorded ratio and 80.3% underlying ratio in Q1, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and higher earned premiums from rate actions. With claims activity running below year-ago levels through May and limited major catastrophe events reported so far in 2026, consensus centers on another sub-90% outcome, though the evenly matched probability buckets highlight uncertainty around the magnitude of any Q2 cat losses or reserve adjustments. The August 5–6 earnings release and accompanying management commentary on auto and homeowners trends will provide the key resolution catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<88% 50%
88%-90% 50%
90%-92% 50%
92%-94% 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
<88%
50%
88%-90%
50%
90%-92%
50%
92%-94%
50%
Более 94%
50%
<88% 50%
88%-90% 50%
90%-92% 50%
92%-94% 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
<88%
$0 Объем
50%
88%-90%
$0 Объем
50%
90%-92%
$0 Объем
50%
92%-94%
$0 Объем
50%
Более 94%
$0 Объем
50%
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement after the segment posted an 82.0% recorded ratio and 80.3% underlying ratio in Q1, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and higher earned premiums from rate actions. With claims activity running below year-ago levels through May and limited major catastrophe events reported so far in 2026, consensus centers on another sub-90% outcome, though the evenly matched probability buckets highlight uncertainty around the magnitude of any Q2 cat losses or reserve adjustments. The August 5–6 earnings release and accompanying management commentary on auto and homeowners trends will provide the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement after the segment posted an 82.0% recorded ratio and 80.3% underlying ratio in Q1, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and higher earned premiums from rate actions. With claims activity running below year-ago levels through May and limited major catastrophe events reported so far in 2026, consensus centers on another sub-90% outcome, though the evenly matched probability buckets highlight uncertainty around the magnitude of any Q2 cat losses or reserve adjustments. The August 5–6 earnings release and accompanying management commentary on auto and homeowners trends will provide the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement after the segment posted an 82.0% recorded ratio and 80.3% underlying ratio in Q1, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and higher earned premiums from rate actions. With claims activity running below year-ago levels through May and limited major catastrophe events reported so far in 2026, consensus centers on another sub-90% outcome, though the evenly matched probability buckets highlight uncertainty around the magnitude of any Q2 cat losses or reserve adjustments. The August 5–6 earnings release and accompanying management commentary on auto and homeowners trends will provide the key resolution catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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