Recent geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions, have driven sharp volatility in crude oil prices, with Brent benchmarks trading near $110 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after peaking above $140 earlier in the spring. These supply constraints have tightened global inventories and supported elevated WTI futures levels despite OPEC's downward revision to its 2026 demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders are monitoring potential gradual reopening of shipping lanes in June, alongside the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting and U.S. inventory data, which could influence whether prices sustain or breach key thresholds before month-end. Market-implied sentiment reflects the balance between persistent Middle East risks and signs of easing production outages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПопадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
$17,034,651 Объем
↑ $200
3%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
57%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
85%
↓ $90
61%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
34%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,034,651 Объем
↑ $200
3%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
57%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
85%
↓ $90
61%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
34%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions, have driven sharp volatility in crude oil prices, with Brent benchmarks trading near $110 per barrel as of mid-May 2026 after peaking above $140 earlier in the spring. These supply constraints have tightened global inventories and supported elevated WTI futures levels despite OPEC's downward revision to its 2026 demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders are monitoring potential gradual reopening of shipping lanes in June, alongside the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting and U.S. inventory data, which could influence whether prices sustain or breach key thresholds before month-end. Market-implied sentiment reflects the balance between persistent Middle East risks and signs of easing production outages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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