U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.50 per gallon nationally in early May 2026, propelled by surging crude oil benchmarks—WTI crude at around $101 per barrel and Brent near $106—amid geopolitical risks including Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have tightened global supply. Seasonal summer driving demand is ramping up, compounding refinery margin pressures and recent inventory draws reported by the EIA. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with elevated implied probabilities for higher price thresholds by May 31, though potential OPEC+ output hikes or demand softening could cap gains. Key catalysts include this week's EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and crude futures positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$138,395 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
↑ $5.00
23%
↑ $4.70
61%
↑ $4.60
87%
↓ $4.25
15%
↓ $4.20
16%
↓ $4.10
14%
↓ $4.00
9%
↓ $3.75
4%
↓ $3.50
3%
$138,395 Объем
↑ $5.00
$20,751 Объем
23%
↑ $4.70
$11,024 Объем
61%
↑ $4.60
$11,128 Объем
87%
↓ $4.25
$2,464 Объем
15%
↓ $4.20
$1,860 Объем
16%
↓ $4.10
$774 Объем
14%
↓ $4.00
$884 Объем
9%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Объем
4%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.50 per gallon nationally in early May 2026, propelled by surging crude oil benchmarks—WTI crude at around $101 per barrel and Brent near $106—amid geopolitical risks including Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have tightened global supply. Seasonal summer driving demand is ramping up, compounding refinery margin pressures and recent inventory draws reported by the EIA. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with elevated implied probabilities for higher price thresholds by May 31, though potential OPEC+ output hikes or demand softening could cap gains. Key catalysts include this week's EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and crude futures positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Объем
$138,395Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.50 per gallon nationally in early May 2026, propelled by surging crude oil benchmarks—WTI crude at around $101 per barrel and Brent near $106—amid geopolitical risks including Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have tightened global supply. Seasonal summer driving demand is ramping up, compounding refinery margin pressures and recent inventory draws reported by the EIA. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with elevated implied probabilities for higher price thresholds by May 31, though potential OPEC+ output hikes or demand softening could cap gains. Key catalysts include this week's EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and crude futures positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$138,395Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed above $4.50 per gallon nationally in early May 2026, propelled by surging crude oil benchmarks—WTI crude at around $101 per barrel and Brent near $106—amid geopolitical risks including Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have tightened global supply. Seasonal summer driving demand is ramping up, compounding refinery margin pressures and recent inventory draws reported by the EIA. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with elevated implied probabilities for higher price thresholds by May 31, though potential OPEC+ output hikes or demand softening could cap gains. Key catalysts include this week's EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and crude futures positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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