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Finance·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finance·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$121,392 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$121,392 Объем

Polymarket

JetBlue

$23,007 Объем

6%

Frontier Airlines

$33,647 Объем

7%

Allegiant

$30,980 Объем

4%

American Airlines

$11,713 Объем

3%

Alaska Airlines

$22,046 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices driven by Middle East conflict have slashed the global airline industry's 2026 net profit forecast nearly in half to $23 billion, according to IATA data, pressuring carriers with thin margins despite resilient passenger demand. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after its second Chapter 11 filing highlighted vulnerability for ultra-low-cost operators facing high fuel volatility, debt loads, and competition. Smaller carriers face heightened bankruptcy or consolidation risk as costs rise, while larger U.S. airlines like JetBlue contend with analyst projections of steep losses at current fuel levels around $4.50 per gallon, though management has rejected near-term filing concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include sustained oil price movements, FOMC policy impacts on the economy, and quarterly earnings that could reveal further stress on balance sheets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$121,392
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices driven by Middle East conflict have slashed the global airline industry's 2026 net profit forecast nearly in half to $23 billion, according to IATA data, pressuring carriers with thin margins despite resilient passenger demand. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after its second Chapter 11 filing highlighted vulnerability for ultra-low-cost operators facing high fuel volatility, debt loads, and competition. Smaller carriers face heightened bankruptcy or consolidation risk as costs rise, while larger U.S. airlines like JetBlue contend with analyst projections of steep losses at current fuel levels around $4.50 per gallon, though management has rejected near-term filing concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include sustained oil price movements, FOMC policy impacts on the economy, and quarterly earnings that could reveal further stress on balance sheets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$121,392
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Frontier Airlines» с 7%, за ним следует «JetBlue» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 7¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $121.4K с момента запуска рынка May 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» всего с 7%, а «JetBlue» близко позади с 6%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.