Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran frictions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices as the week of May 18, 2026 begins. Recent de-escalation signals, including assurances of potential reopening of the critical shipping route, have tempered the risk premium that pushed front-month futures above $100 per barrel earlier in May. Market-implied odds reflect heightened supply disruptions, with EIA data showing sharp inventory draws and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April. Traders are monitoring upcoming catalysts such as the weekly EIA petroleum status report and OPEC+ quota discussions, which could influence near-term balances amid mixed demand signals from China and robust U.S. export growth. These factors underscore the sensitivity of crude valuations to any further shifts in global supply dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 18 2026?
↑ $135
3%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $115
13%
↑ $110
32%
↑ $105
81%
↓ $100
86%
↓ $95
20%
↓ $90
24%
↓ $85
8%
↓ $80
5%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
$5,232 Объем
↑ $135
3%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $115
13%
↑ $110
32%
↑ $105
81%
↓ $100
86%
↓ $95
20%
↓ $90
24%
↓ $85
8%
↓ $80
5%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran frictions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices as the week of May 18, 2026 begins. Recent de-escalation signals, including assurances of potential reopening of the critical shipping route, have tempered the risk premium that pushed front-month futures above $100 per barrel earlier in May. Market-implied odds reflect heightened supply disruptions, with EIA data showing sharp inventory draws and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April. Traders are monitoring upcoming catalysts such as the weekly EIA petroleum status report and OPEC+ quota discussions, which could influence near-term balances amid mixed demand signals from China and robust U.S. export growth. These factors underscore the sensitivity of crude valuations to any further shifts in global supply dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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