SpaceX's June outcome commands a 68% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reporting of an early June roadshow followed by a mid-to-late month listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positioning stems from projected 2026 revenue of $22–$24 billion—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch cadence—aligning with standard IPO timelines post-filing, including an imminent public prospectus expected May 15–22. August at 21.9% and July at 9.2% capture potential SEC review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.3% signals strong skin-in-the-game optimism amid recent Starship milestones boosting fundamentals, though lockup and liquidity rules remain key resolution risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИюнь 67%
Август 21.8%
Июль 9.2%
Нет IPO до 2027 года 5.3%
$335,339 Объем
$335,339 Объем
Май
2%
Июнь
67%
Июль
9%
Август
22%
Сентябрь
3%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
5%
Июнь 67%
Август 21.8%
Июль 9.2%
Нет IPO до 2027 года 5.3%
$335,339 Объем
$335,339 Объем
Май
2%
Июнь
67%
Июль
9%
Август
22%
Сентябрь
3%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's June outcome commands a 68% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reporting of an early June roadshow followed by a mid-to-late month listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positioning stems from projected 2026 revenue of $22–$24 billion—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch cadence—aligning with standard IPO timelines post-filing, including an imminent public prospectus expected May 15–22. August at 21.9% and July at 9.2% capture potential SEC review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.3% signals strong skin-in-the-game optimism amid recent Starship milestones boosting fundamentals, though lockup and liquidity rules remain key resolution risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы