Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 100.0%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
<80 млрд <1%
100–120 млрд <1%
$270,942 Объем
$270,942 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
<1%
80–100 млрд долл.
<1%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
<1%
140 млрд+
<1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
100%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 100.0%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
<80 млрд <1%
100–120 млрд <1%
$270,942 Объем
$270,942 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
$87,977 Объем
<1%
80–100 млрд долл.
$24,264 Объем
<1%
100–120 млрд
$25,442 Объем
<1%
120–140 млрд
$40,361 Объем
<1%
140 млрд+
$29,317 Объем
<1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$63,581 Объем
100%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Объем
$270,942Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$270,942Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы