Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability on Cerebras achieving a $50 billion-plus closing market cap in its IPO debut, driven by yesterday's blockbuster pricing at $185 per share—well above the upsized $150–$160 range—for a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion and $5.55 billion raise. This reflects surging AI chip demand, with Cerebras's S-1 disclosing 2025 profitability on $510 million revenue (up sharply year-over-year) and major hyperscaler deals positioning it as a Nvidia alternative via wafer-scale processors. Strong book demand exceeding 20x shares fueled multiple upsizings last week. Realistic challenges include today's Nasdaq debut volatility, broader market risk-off sentiment, or execution hiccups in inference workloads, potentially pressuring shares below $170 (~$50B cap).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$50B+ 96%
$40B–$50B 5.1%
$30B–$40B <1%
<$20B <1%
$139,547 Объем
$139,547 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
<$20B
<1%
$20B–$30B
<1%
$30B–$40B
1%
$40B–$50B
5%
$50B+
96%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$50B+ 96%
$40B–$50B 5.1%
$30B–$40B <1%
<$20B <1%
$139,547 Объем
$139,547 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
<$20B
$15,755 Объем
<1%
$20B–$30B
$29,893 Объем
<1%
$30B–$40B
$15,429 Объем
1%
$40B–$50B
$23,137 Объем
5%
$50B+
$38,817 Объем
96%
No IPO before July 2026
$16,516 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability on Cerebras achieving a $50 billion-plus closing market cap in its IPO debut, driven by yesterday's blockbuster pricing at $185 per share—well above the upsized $150–$160 range—for a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion and $5.55 billion raise. This reflects surging AI chip demand, with Cerebras's S-1 disclosing 2025 profitability on $510 million revenue (up sharply year-over-year) and major hyperscaler deals positioning it as a Nvidia alternative via wafer-scale processors. Strong book demand exceeding 20x shares fueled multiple upsizings last week. Realistic challenges include today's Nasdaq debut volatility, broader market risk-off sentiment, or execution hiccups in inference workloads, potentially pressuring shares below $170 (~$50B cap).
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Объем
$139,547Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability on Cerebras achieving a $50 billion-plus closing market cap in its IPO debut, driven by yesterday's blockbuster pricing at $185 per share—well above the upsized $150–$160 range—for a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion and $5.55 billion raise. This reflects surging AI chip demand, with Cerebras's S-1 disclosing 2025 profitability on $510 million revenue (up sharply year-over-year) and major hyperscaler deals positioning it as a Nvidia alternative via wafer-scale processors. Strong book demand exceeding 20x shares fueled multiple upsizings last week. Realistic challenges include today's Nasdaq debut volatility, broader market risk-off sentiment, or execution hiccups in inference workloads, potentially pressuring shares below $170 (~$50B cap).
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$139,547Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability on Cerebras achieving a $50 billion-plus closing market cap in its IPO debut, driven by yesterday's blockbuster pricing at $185 per share—well above the upsized $150–$160 range—for a fully diluted valuation of $56.4 billion and $5.55 billion raise. This reflects surging AI chip demand, with Cerebras's S-1 disclosing 2025 profitability on $510 million revenue (up sharply year-over-year) and major hyperscaler deals positioning it as a Nvidia alternative via wafer-scale processors. Strong book demand exceeding 20x shares fueled multiple upsizings last week. Realistic challenges include today's Nasdaq debut volatility, broader market risk-off sentiment, or execution hiccups in inference workloads, potentially pressuring shares below $170 (~$50B cap).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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