Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 53%
1,50-1,75 трлн 15.7%
2,25–2,50 трлн 14.7%
2,00–2,25 трлн 11%
$132,959 Объем
$132,959 Объем
<1,25 трлн
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
6%
1,50-1,75 трлн
22%
1,75–2,00 трлн
53%
2,00–2,25 трлн
28%
2,25–2,50 трлн
15%
2,50T+
6%
1,75–2,00 трлн 53%
1,50-1,75 трлн 15.7%
2,25–2,50 трлн 14.7%
2,00–2,25 трлн 11%
$132,959 Объем
$132,959 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$60,323 Объем
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$16,025 Объем
6%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$8,945 Объем
22%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$12,910 Объем
53%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$13,938 Объем
28%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$10,055 Объем
15%
2,50T+
$10,762 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$132,959Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$132,959Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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