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Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

icon for Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

$1,808,527 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,808,527 Объем

Polymarket

Вуди Аллен

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6%

Кевин Спейси

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4%

Билл Клинтон

$285,263 Объем

4%

Дипак Чопра

$14,797 Объем

4%

Харви Вайнштейн

$21,553 Объем

4%

Питер Аттия

$7,905 Объем

3%

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$6,136 Объем

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Стив Бэннон

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3%

Билл Гейтс

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2%

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2%

Майкл Джексон

$160,364 Объем

2%

Дональд Трамп

$145,130 Объем

2%

Ноам Хомский

$26,756 Объем

2%

Хиллари Клинтон

$49,543 Объем

2%

Билл Косби

$14,937 Объем

1%

Марко Рубио

$39,476 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's releases of millions of Epstein files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in a major January 30, 2026 batch with flight manifests, emails, and island photos, form the core context for trader assessments of Little St. James visitors. These documents reference planned trips—such as emails for Elon Musk and confirmed 2012 stays by Howard Lutnick—but provide no new verified island visits for high-profile figures like Bill Clinton, Donald Trump, or Bill Gates via flight logs, testimony, or photos. Absent fresh confirmations despite extensive review, sentiment favors low probabilities ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline, with potential extensions for late federal disclosures or congressional hearings influencing outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,808,527
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's releases of millions of Epstein files under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, culminating in a major January 30, 2026 batch with flight manifests, emails, and island photos, form the core context for trader assessments of Little St. James visitors. These documents reference planned trips—such as emails for Elon Musk and confirmed 2012 stays by Howard Lutnick—but provide no new verified island visits for high-profile figures like Bill Clinton, Donald Trump, or Bill Gates via flight logs, testimony, or photos. Absent fresh confirmations despite extensive review, sentiment favors low probabilities ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline, with potential extensions for late federal disclosures or congressional hearings influencing outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,808,527
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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На сегодняшний день «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.8 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» — «Ричард Брэнсон» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Вуди Аллен» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.