No active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or credible resignation signals exist in Congress or the executive branch as of late June 2026. With only five weeks until the July 31 cutoff, constitutional removal processes lack time to advance, and midterm elections remain months away. Primary indicators such as recent legislative activity, cabinet stability, and official statements show no momentum toward early departure. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent because the short resolution window and absence of triggering events align with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent sudden crises. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain theoretically possible but currently lack supporting evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.No active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or credible resignation signals exist in Congress or the executive branch as of late June 2026. With only five weeks until the July 31 cutoff, constitutional removal processes lack time to advance, and midterm elections remain months away. Primary indicators such as recent legislative activity, cabinet stability, and official statements show no momentum toward early departure. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent because the short resolution window and absence of triggering events align with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent sudden crises. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain theoretically possible but currently lack supporting evidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 26, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$135Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.No active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or credible resignation signals exist in Congress or the executive branch as of late June 2026. With only five weeks until the July 31 cutoff, constitutional removal processes lack time to advance, and midterm elections remain months away. Primary indicators such as recent legislative activity, cabinet stability, and official statements show no momentum toward early departure. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent because the short resolution window and absence of triggering events align with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent sudden crises. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain theoretically possible but currently lack supporting evidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$135Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or credible resignation signals exist in Congress or the executive branch as of late June 2026. With only five weeks until the July 31 cutoff, constitutional removal processes lack time to advance, and midterm elections remain months away. Primary indicators such as recent legislative activity, cabinet stability, and official statements show no momentum toward early departure. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent because the short resolution window and absence of triggering events align with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent sudden crises. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain theoretically possible but currently lack supporting evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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