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icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

июн. 26

июл. 3

июн. 26

июл. 3

39.5–39.9 48%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

40.0+ 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

39.5–39.9 48%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

40.0+ 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<38.0

$0 Объем

45%

38.0–38.4

$0 Объем

45%

38.5–38.9

$0 Объем

44%

39.0–39.4

$0 Объем

44%

39.5–39.9

$0 Объем

48%

40.0+

$0 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump approval rating on July 3?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «39.5–39.9» с 48%, за ним следует «<38.0» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Trump approval rating on July 3?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 26, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump approval rating on July 3?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Trump approval rating on July 3?» — «39.5–39.9» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<38.0» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Trump approval rating on July 3?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.