Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3rd richest person on December 31?
3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey Brin 49%
Jeff Bezos 14%
Warren Buffett 12.5%
Larry Page 6.0%
$24,269 Объем
$24,269 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Sergey Brin
49%
Jeff Bezos
14%
Warren Buffett
17%
Larry Page
11%
Mark Zuckerberg
4%
Steve Ballmer
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Larry Ellison
8%
Jensen Huang
<1%
Bernard Arnault
<1%
Sergey Brin 49%
Jeff Bezos 14%
Warren Buffett 12.5%
Larry Page 6.0%
$24,269 Объем
$24,269 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Sergey Brin
$371 Объем
49%
Jeff Bezos
$327 Объем
14%
Warren Buffett
$1,031 Объем
17%
Larry Page
$6,704 Объем
11%
Mark Zuckerberg
$715 Объем
4%
Steve Ballmer
$13,421 Объем
2%
Elon Musk
$314 Объем
2%
Larry Ellison
$365 Объем
8%
Jensen Huang
$726 Объем
<1%
Bernard Arnault
$294 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Объем
$24,269Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Объем
$24,269Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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