**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 13 июня - 15 июня 2026?
Илон Маск # tweets 13 июня - 15 июня 2026?
40-64 50%
65-89 34%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
НОВОЕ
$23,508 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,508 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
34%
90-114
13%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 34%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
НОВОЕ
$23,508 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,508 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
<40
$516 Объем
9%
40-64
$78 Объем
50%
65-89
$311 Объем
34%
90-114
$373 Объем
13%
115-139
$194 Объем
1%
140-164
$295 Объем
<1%
165-189
$1,746 Объем
<1%
190-214
$7,088 Объем
<1%
215-239
$7,088 Объем
<1%
240+
$5,818 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Объем
$23,508Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$23,508Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы