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200-219 20%

220-239 18%

180-199 17%

240-259 14%

Polymarket

$1,043,132 Объем

200-219 20%

220-239 18%

180-199 17%

240-259 14%

Polymarket

$1,043,132 Объем

<20

$52,079 Объем

<1%

20-39

$30,911 Объем

<1%

40-59

$79,378 Объем

<1%

60-79

$101,067 Объем

<1%

80-99

$95,728 Объем

<1%

100-119

$36,398 Объем

1%

120-139

$27,703 Объем

2%

140-159

$16,430 Объем

6%

160-179

$10,682 Объем

11%

180-199

$11,337 Объем

17%

200-219

$14,090 Объем

20%

220-239

$12,142 Объем

18%

240-259

$12,171 Объем

14%

260-279

$10,767 Объем

9%

280-299

$14,370 Объем

4%

300-319

$13,952 Объем

2%

320-339

$20,140 Объем

1%

340-359

$15,563 Объем

1%

360-379

$17,343 Объем

<1%

380-399

$18,144 Объем

<1%

400-419

$28,326 Объем

<1%

420-439

$43,295 Объем

<1%

440-459

$40,903 Объем

<1%

460-479

$93,158 Объем

<1%

480-499

$81,971 Объем

<1%

500+

$145,280 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume on X drives the tight clustering around 200-239 tweets, with traders pricing in his established rhythm of 25-35 posts per day absent major product launches or political flare-ups. The narrow spread between the top two bins highlights uncertainty over whether routine engagement with followers, replies to trending topics, or business updates will push the total higher or keep it in the lower end of that range. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity fluctuates with news cycles and platform developments, while no confirmed high-profile events are slated to dramatically alter his cadence during this period. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as a function of consistent user behavior rather than any single catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,043,132
Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekly posting volume on X drives the tight clustering around 200-239 tweets, with traders pricing in his established rhythm of 25-35 posts per day absent major product launches or political flare-ups. The narrow spread between the top two bins highlights uncertainty over whether routine engagement with followers, replies to trending topics, or business updates will push the total higher or keep it in the lower end of that range. Historical patterns show Musk’s activity fluctuates with news cycles and platform developments, while no confirmed high-profile events are slated to dramatically alter his cadence during this period. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as a function of consistent user behavior rather than any single catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,043,132
Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 26 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «200-219» с 20%, за ним следует «220-239» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?», просмотри 26 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?» — «200-219» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Следующий ближайший исход — «220-239» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.