Traders see the June 12-19 Elon Musk tweet count market as tightly contested because his baseline posting rate—typically 20-30 original posts and replies per day—places the likely weekly total squarely in the 140-179 range that currently leads at combined probabilities near 36%. Recent weekly markets have shown similar clustering around 200 before late adjustments, reflecting how engagement spikes from news cycles, company announcements, or political commentary can add or subtract dozens of posts without shifting the overall pattern dramatically. The close spread among 120-139, 160-179, and adjacent bins stems from this inherent variability, where factors such as weekend activity, travel schedules, or major events could still push totals into neighboring brackets before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 12 июня - 19 июня 2026 года?
Илон Маск # tweets 12 июня - 19 июня 2026 года?
140-159 19.9%
160-179 17%
120-139 15.7%
180-199 13%
$2,074,593 Объем
$2,074,593 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
9%
120-139
16%
140-159
20%
160-179
17%
180-199
13%
200-219
10%
220-239
5%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 19.9%
160-179 17%
120-139 15.7%
180-199 13%
$2,074,593 Объем
$2,074,593 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
9%
120-139
16%
140-159
20%
160-179
17%
180-199
13%
200-219
10%
220-239
5%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the June 12-19 Elon Musk tweet count market as tightly contested because his baseline posting rate—typically 20-30 original posts and replies per day—places the likely weekly total squarely in the 140-179 range that currently leads at combined probabilities near 36%. Recent weekly markets have shown similar clustering around 200 before late adjustments, reflecting how engagement spikes from news cycles, company announcements, or political commentary can add or subtract dozens of posts without shifting the overall pattern dramatically. The close spread among 120-139, 160-179, and adjacent bins stems from this inherent variability, where factors such as weekend activity, travel schedules, or major events could still push totals into neighboring brackets before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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