Trump maintains a high baseline posting volume on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 posts daily across 2025 and into 2026, with monthly totals ranging from 565 to over 800 in active periods. This pace, driven by his role as president and routine engagement with news cycles, policy updates, and supporter content, anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window around the 120–139 range. Variability from daily fluctuations—tied to breaking events, international developments, or quieter stretches—keeps multiple bins clustered between 60–200 at similar implied probabilities near 25%. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether the period will feature routine activity or catalysts such as legislative developments, diplomatic statements, or domestic political developments that could push totals higher or allow for moderation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено120-139 34%
60-79 26%
100-119 26%
160-179 26%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
6%
60-79
26%
80-99
25%
100-119
26%
120-139
34%
140-159
24%
160-179
26%
180-199
25%
200+
25%
120-139 34%
60-79 26%
100-119 26%
160-179 26%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
6%
60-79
26%
80-99
25%
100-119
26%
120-139
34%
140-159
24%
160-179
26%
180-199
25%
200+
25%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump maintains a high baseline posting volume on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 posts daily across 2025 and into 2026, with monthly totals ranging from 565 to over 800 in active periods. This pace, driven by his role as president and routine engagement with news cycles, policy updates, and supporter content, anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window around the 120–139 range. Variability from daily fluctuations—tied to breaking events, international developments, or quieter stretches—keeps multiple bins clustered between 60–200 at similar implied probabilities near 25%. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether the period will feature routine activity or catalysts such as legislative developments, diplomatic statements, or domestic political developments that could push totals higher or allow for moderation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы