Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
15 июня
34%
22 июня
43%
30 июня
57%
31 июля
65%
$110 Объем
15 июня
$7 Объем
34%
22 июня
$97 Объем
43%
30 июня
$0 Объем
57%
31 июля
$6 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$110Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$110Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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