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icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

июн. 30

июн. 30

2% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
2% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidents lack unilateral authority to rename international geographic features like the Strait of Hormuz, an area governed by longstanding maritime conventions and requiring coordination among multiple nations including Iran and Oman. No official statements, executive actions, or legislative proposals have emerged from the administration or Congress to advance such a change ahead of the June 30 deadline. Historical patterns show that U.S. geographic naming falls under specialized boards or diplomatic channels rather than direct presidential fiat, creating significant procedural and legal barriers. Traders' near-certain consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these structural constraints and the absence of any supporting political developments. Late-breaking announcements or symbolic gestures could theoretically shift sentiment, though recognition by foreign governments and international bodies would remain uncertain even if attempted.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,720
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidents lack unilateral authority to rename international geographic features like the Strait of Hormuz, an area governed by longstanding maritime conventions and requiring coordination among multiple nations including Iran and Oman. No official statements, executive actions, or legislative proposals have emerged from the administration or Congress to advance such a change ahead of the June 30 deadline. Historical patterns show that U.S. geographic naming falls under specialized boards or diplomatic channels rather than direct presidential fiat, creating significant procedural and legal barriers. Traders' near-certain consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these structural constraints and the absence of any supporting political developments. Late-breaking announcements or symbolic gestures could theoretically shift sentiment, though recognition by foreign governments and international bodies would remain uncertain even if attempted.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,720
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 2% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 2¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 2%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 26, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущая вероятность для «Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?» составляет 2% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.