Skip to main content
icon for Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Мир·Ближний Восток

Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?

icon for Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Мир·Ближний Восток

Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?

мая 31

июн. 30

дек. 31

мая 31

июн. 30

дек. 31

Да

28% вероятность
Polymarket

$1,849,814 Объем

Да

28% вероятность
Polymarket

$1,849,814 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at just 28.5% likelihood, driven by President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's latest counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" and "garbage," declaring the ceasefire "on life support" over insufficient nuclear curbs. Indirect talks, mediated in Oman, Islamabad, and Geneva since April, remain deadlocked on core disputes: Washington's demand for a 12-20 year uranium enrichment moratorium and verifiable limits tied to sanctions relief, versus Iran's insistence on retaining enrichment rights and prioritizing Strait of Hormuz access. Early May reports of nearing a framework memo faded amid new US sanctions and Israeli escalations, leaving scant time for breakthrough before the deadline amid fragile diplomatic postures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$1,849,814
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at just 28.5% likelihood, driven by President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's latest counterproposal as "totally unacceptable" and "garbage," declaring the ceasefire "on life support" over insufficient nuclear curbs. Indirect talks, mediated in Oman, Islamabad, and Geneva since April, remain deadlocked on core disputes: Washington's demand for a 12-20 year uranium enrichment moratorium and verifiable limits tied to sanctions relief, versus Iran's insistence on retaining enrichment rights and prioritizing Strait of Hormuz access. Early May reports of nearing a framework memo faded amid new US sanctions and Israeli escalations, leaving scant time for breakthrough before the deadline amid fragile diplomatic postures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$1,849,814
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.8 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 17, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» — «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.