Trader consensus prices an 87.5% chance no new country will formally join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs despite recent optimism. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee expressed confidence on May 12 that additional regional states could soon normalize ties with Israel under the framework, echoed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's hopes for expansion, while the State Department outlined an expansion strategy two days ago. Kazakhstan announced intentions to join last week amid President Isaac Herzog's visit to deepen ties, but no formal signing has occurred. Saudi Arabia remains the prime candidate, yet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman insists on Palestinian statehood progress, stalled amid Iran conflict escalations that have instead reinforced existing accords like UAE-Israel Iron Dome cooperation. With just six weeks left, procedural hurdles and geopolitical risks outweigh rhetorical momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$24,365 Объем
$24,365 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$24,365 Объем
$24,365 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 87.5% chance no new country will formally join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs despite recent optimism. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee expressed confidence on May 12 that additional regional states could soon normalize ties with Israel under the framework, echoed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's hopes for expansion, while the State Department outlined an expansion strategy two days ago. Kazakhstan announced intentions to join last week amid President Isaac Herzog's visit to deepen ties, but no formal signing has occurred. Saudi Arabia remains the prime candidate, yet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman insists on Palestinian statehood progress, stalled amid Iran conflict escalations that have instead reinforced existing accords like UAE-Israel Iron Dome cooperation. With just six weeks left, procedural hurdles and geopolitical risks outweigh rhetorical momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$24,365Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 87.5% chance no new country will formally join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs despite recent optimism. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee expressed confidence on May 12 that additional regional states could soon normalize ties with Israel under the framework, echoed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's hopes for expansion, while the State Department outlined an expansion strategy two days ago. Kazakhstan announced intentions to join last week amid President Isaac Herzog's visit to deepen ties, but no formal signing has occurred. Saudi Arabia remains the prime candidate, yet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman insists on Palestinian statehood progress, stalled amid Iran conflict escalations that have instead reinforced existing accords like UAE-Israel Iron Dome cooperation. With just six weeks left, procedural hurdles and geopolitical risks outweigh rhetorical momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,365Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 87.5% chance no new country will formally join the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs despite recent optimism. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee expressed confidence on May 12 that additional regional states could soon normalize ties with Israel under the framework, echoed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's hopes for expansion, while the State Department outlined an expansion strategy two days ago. Kazakhstan announced intentions to join last week amid President Isaac Herzog's visit to deepen ties, but no formal signing has occurred. Saudi Arabia remains the prime candidate, yet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman insists on Palestinian statehood progress, stalled amid Iran conflict escalations that have instead reinforced existing accords like UAE-Israel Iron Dome cooperation. With just six weeks left, procedural hurdles and geopolitical risks outweigh rhetorical momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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