Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–25 seats, well below its 32 seats (or 36 including the New Hope merger) from the prior cycle. This decline stems from sustained voter fatigue following the October 7 attacks, prolonged security operations, and internal coalition strains over judicial matters and Gaza policy. Opposition parties, particularly Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, have gained ground in multiple surveys from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Maariv, frequently placing Likud behind rivals and leaving the broader right-wing bloc short of a 61-seat majority. These consistent trends across polling averages underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено88% вероятность
$11,080 Объем
$11,080 Объем
27 окт. 2026 г.
88% вероятность
$11,080 Объем
$11,080 Объем
27 окт. 2026 г.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–25 seats, well below its 32 seats (or 36 including the New Hope merger) from the prior cycle. This decline stems from sustained voter fatigue following the October 7 attacks, prolonged security operations, and internal coalition strains over judicial matters and Gaza policy. Opposition parties, particularly Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, have gained ground in multiple surveys from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Maariv, frequently placing Likud behind rivals and leaving the broader right-wing bloc short of a 61-seat majority. These consistent trends across polling averages underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Объем
$11,080Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–25 seats, well below its 32 seats (or 36 including the New Hope merger) from the prior cycle. This decline stems from sustained voter fatigue following the October 7 attacks, prolonged security operations, and internal coalition strains over judicial matters and Gaza policy. Opposition parties, particularly Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, have gained ground in multiple surveys from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Maariv, frequently placing Likud behind rivals and leaving the broader right-wing bloc short of a 61-seat majority. These consistent trends across polling averages underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$11,080Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–25 seats, well below its 32 seats (or 36 including the New Hope merger) from the prior cycle. This decline stems from sustained voter fatigue following the October 7 attacks, prolonged security operations, and internal coalition strains over judicial matters and Gaza policy. Opposition parties, particularly Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, have gained ground in multiple surveys from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Maariv, frequently placing Likud behind rivals and leaving the broader right-wing bloc short of a 61-seat majority. These consistent trends across polling averages underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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