Ongoing regional tensions stemming from the Israel-Lebanon conflict, including Israeli operations in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah-related security risks, underpin the U.S. Embassy Beirut's ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026. The mission remains operational with essential staff under a Level 4 travel advisory citing armed conflict, terrorism, and kidnapping threats. Recent diplomatic activity, including U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's September 2026 visits to southern pilot zones and Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys, signals continued U.S. engagement aimed at Lebanese army deployment, phased withdrawals, and stability arrangements ahead of potential October negotiations. These efforts, alongside persistent strikes and stalled momentum, shape trader assessments of full embassy evacuation timelines amid active but fragile de-escalation processes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСША эвакуируют посольство в Бейруте...?
США эвакуируют посольство в Бейруте...?
$119,425 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
6%
$119,425 Объем
31 декабря
$25,323 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions stemming from the Israel-Lebanon conflict, including Israeli operations in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah-related security risks, underpin the U.S. Embassy Beirut's ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026. The mission remains operational with essential staff under a Level 4 travel advisory citing armed conflict, terrorism, and kidnapping threats. Recent diplomatic activity, including U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's September 2026 visits to southern pilot zones and Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys, signals continued U.S. engagement aimed at Lebanese army deployment, phased withdrawals, and stability arrangements ahead of potential October negotiations. These efforts, alongside persistent strikes and stalled momentum, shape trader assessments of full embassy evacuation timelines amid active but fragile de-escalation processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$119,425Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions stemming from the Israel-Lebanon conflict, including Israeli operations in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah-related security risks, underpin the U.S. Embassy Beirut's ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026. The mission remains operational with essential staff under a Level 4 travel advisory citing armed conflict, terrorism, and kidnapping threats. Recent diplomatic activity, including U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's September 2026 visits to southern pilot zones and Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys, signals continued U.S. engagement aimed at Lebanese army deployment, phased withdrawals, and stability arrangements ahead of potential October negotiations. These efforts, alongside persistent strikes and stalled momentum, shape trader assessments of full embassy evacuation timelines amid active but fragile de-escalation processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Объем
$119,425Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions stemming from the Israel-Lebanon conflict, including Israeli operations in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah-related security risks, underpin the U.S. Embassy Beirut's ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026. The mission remains operational with essential staff under a Level 4 travel advisory citing armed conflict, terrorism, and kidnapping threats. Recent diplomatic activity, including U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's September 2026 visits to southern pilot zones and Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys, signals continued U.S. engagement aimed at Lebanese army deployment, phased withdrawals, and stability arrangements ahead of potential October negotiations. These efforts, alongside persistent strikes and stalled momentum, shape trader assessments of full embassy evacuation timelines amid active but fragile de-escalation processes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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