Recent developments in Israel's opposition realignment have reinforced trader expectations that Gadi Eisenkot will not join the Bennett-Lapid Together slate by the June 30 deadline. Following the late-April merger announcement that explicitly reserved space for Eisenkot's Yashar party, the former IDF chief publicly described the move as a disappointment and signaled openness to alternative partnerships, including talks with Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu. Current polling shows Eisenkot's list holding steady at around 14 seats independently, preserving his leverage as a potential kingmaker rather than a subordinate on an existing ticket. Calls from figures like Yair Golan for bloc consolidation have not yet prompted a shift, and Eisenkot's preference for maximizing electoral positioning ahead of the next vote cycle continues to shape the 81% implied probability on a "No" outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments in Israel's opposition realignment have reinforced trader expectations that Gadi Eisenkot will not join the Bennett-Lapid Together slate by the June 30 deadline. Following the late-April merger announcement that explicitly reserved space for Eisenkot's Yashar party, the former IDF chief publicly described the move as a disappointment and signaled openness to alternative partnerships, including talks with Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu. Current polling shows Eisenkot's list holding steady at around 14 seats independently, preserving his leverage as a potential kingmaker rather than a subordinate on an existing ticket. Calls from figures like Yair Golan for bloc consolidation have not yet prompted a shift, and Eisenkot's preference for maximizing electoral positioning ahead of the next vote cycle continues to shape the 81% implied probability on a "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 28, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments in Israel's opposition realignment have reinforced trader expectations that Gadi Eisenkot will not join the Bennett-Lapid Together slate by the June 30 deadline. Following the late-April merger announcement that explicitly reserved space for Eisenkot's Yashar party, the former IDF chief publicly described the move as a disappointment and signaled openness to alternative partnerships, including talks with Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu. Current polling shows Eisenkot's list holding steady at around 14 seats independently, preserving his leverage as a potential kingmaker rather than a subordinate on an existing ticket. Calls from figures like Yair Golan for bloc consolidation have not yet prompted a shift, and Eisenkot's preference for maximizing electoral positioning ahead of the next vote cycle continues to shape the 81% implied probability on a "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in Israel's opposition realignment have reinforced trader expectations that Gadi Eisenkot will not join the Bennett-Lapid Together slate by the June 30 deadline. Following the late-April merger announcement that explicitly reserved space for Eisenkot's Yashar party, the former IDF chief publicly described the move as a disappointment and signaled openness to alternative partnerships, including talks with Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu. Current polling shows Eisenkot's list holding steady at around 14 seats independently, preserving his leverage as a potential kingmaker rather than a subordinate on an existing ticket. Calls from figures like Yair Golan for bloc consolidation have not yet prompted a shift, and Eisenkot's preference for maximizing electoral positioning ahead of the next vote cycle continues to shape the 81% implied probability on a "No" outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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