Lebanon’s parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16–17, 2026, securing 68 votes in favor against 12 opposed, marking the third such vote since its formation. Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc withdrew before the tally while the Amal Movement backed the government, reflecting cross-factional acceptance amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-conflict negotiations. Salam’s administration continues advancing economic reforms, Syria ties based on reciprocity, refugee returns, and implementation of frameworks addressing Israeli withdrawal and exclusive state authority. These developments signal institutional continuity and limited near-term risk of removal, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено24% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
24% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanon’s parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16–17, 2026, securing 68 votes in favor against 12 opposed, marking the third such vote since its formation. Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc withdrew before the tally while the Amal Movement backed the government, reflecting cross-factional acceptance amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-conflict negotiations. Salam’s administration continues advancing economic reforms, Syria ties based on reciprocity, refugee returns, and implementation of frameworks addressing Israeli withdrawal and exclusive state authority. These developments signal institutional continuity and limited near-term risk of removal, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,223Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanon’s parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16–17, 2026, securing 68 votes in favor against 12 opposed, marking the third such vote since its formation. Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc withdrew before the tally while the Amal Movement backed the government, reflecting cross-factional acceptance amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-conflict negotiations. Salam’s administration continues advancing economic reforms, Syria ties based on reciprocity, refugee returns, and implementation of frameworks addressing Israeli withdrawal and exclusive state authority. These developments signal institutional continuity and limited near-term risk of removal, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,223Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Lebanon’s parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16–17, 2026, securing 68 votes in favor against 12 opposed, marking the third such vote since its formation. Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc withdrew before the tally while the Amal Movement backed the government, reflecting cross-factional acceptance amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-conflict negotiations. Salam’s administration continues advancing economic reforms, Syria ties based on reciprocity, refugee returns, and implementation of frameworks addressing Israeli withdrawal and exclusive state authority. These developments signal institutional continuity and limited near-term risk of removal, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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