Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОткроет ли Израиль свое посольство в Иране в 2026 году?
Откроет ли Израиль свое посольство в Иране в 2026 году?
Да
$51,779 Объем
$51,779 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$51,779 Объем
$51,779 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Объем
$51,779Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$51,779Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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